Notes and assumptions:
- No possibility of tie games.
- Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
- Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
- Divisional ties are broken first.
- If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
- Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
- The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-7 record. (Though the NFC West winner can be as bad as 7-9.)
- Locked berths: none.
- Clinched division: CHI, PHI.
- Clinched bye: CHI.
- Clinched berths: ATL, NO.
- Eliminated: CAR, DET, DAL, WAS, MIN, ARI, SF.
- Scenarios in which GB makes playoffs: win over CHI OR (NYG AND TB lose).
- Scenario in which NYG makes playoffs: win over WAS AND GB loses to CHI.
- Scenario in which TB makes playoffs: win over NO AND NYG loses to WAS AND GB loses to CHI.
- The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Tiebreakers after Week 16:Tied Teams | Record | Extra condition | Winner | Why? | Divisional: | | |
| | PHI-NYG | 10-6 | | PHI | head-to-head sweep | ATL-NO | 12-4 | | NO | division record | STL-SEA | 7-9 | | SEA | division record |
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| PHI-CHI | 11-5 | | CHI | head-to-head | NYG-GB | 10-6 | | GB | head-to-head | NYG-TB | 10-6 |
| NYG | common opponents | CHI-ATL | 12-4 | | CHI | common opponents | CHI-NO | 12-4 |
| NO | conference record | GB-TB | 10-6 |
| GB | strength-of-victory | NYG-GB-TB | any |
| GB
| strength-of-victory [NYG: CAR+CHI+DAL+DET+HOU+JAX+MIN+SEA+WAS (+WAS) GB: BUF+DAL+DET+MIN+MIN+NYG+NYJ+PHI+SF (+CHI) TB: ARI+CAR+CAR+CIN+CLE+SEA+SF+STL+WAS (+NO)]
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Labels: football, NFC, NFL, tiebreakers |
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