Sunday, December 19, 2010

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2010, After Week 15 (Except CHI-MIN)

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: NYG and GB can only be tied if GB beats NYG.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Divisional ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-7 record. (Though the NFC West winner can be as bad as 6-9-1.)
  8. Locked berths: none.
  9. Clinched division: CHI.
  10. Clinched berth: ATL.
  11. Eliminated: CAR, DET, DAL, WAS, MIN, ARI.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Tiebreakers after Week 15:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
Divisional:
PHI-NYGanyPHIhead-to-head sweep
CHI-GB10-6CHIdivision record
ATL-NO12-4NOdivision record
NO-TB10-6TBcommon opponents
STL-SEA7-9STL beats SEASTLhead-to-head sweep
STL-SEA7-9SEA beats STLSEAdivision record
STL-SF7-9SFhead-to-head sweep
SEA-SF7-9SFdivision record
STL-SEA-SF7-9SFround robin





Conference:




PHI-CHIanyCHIhead-to-head
PHI-GB10-6GBhead-to-head
PHI-ATL12-4PHIhead-to-head
PHI-NOanyNOconference record
PHI-TB10-6TBconference record
NYG-CHI11-5NYGhead-to-head
NYG-GBanyGBhead-to-head
NYG-NOanyNOcommon opponents
NYG-TB10-6NYG beats WAS
NYGcommon opponents
NYG-TB10-6NYG loses to WAS
NYGstrength-of-victory
(CHI+DAL+DET+GB+HOU+JAX+MIN+SEA
vs. ARI+CAR+CIN+CLE+NO+SF+STL)
CHI-ATL12-4CHIcommon opponents
CHI-NOanyCHI beats NYJNOconference record
CHI-NOanyCHI loses to NYJNOcommon opponents
GB-NO10-6GBcommon opponents
GB-TB10-6
likely GBstrength-of-victory
PHI-CHI-ATL12-4likely PHIstrength-of-victory
PHI-CHI-NO12-4NOconference record
PHI-GB-NO10-6likely GBPHI eliminated on conference record;
strength of victory
PHI-GB-TB10-6likely GBPHI eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory
NYG-GB-NO10-6
NOGB eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
NYG-GB-TBany
likely GBstrength-of-victory

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