Notes and assumptions:
- No possibility of tie games.
- Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
- Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
- Divisional ties are broken first.
- If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
- Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
- The AFC #6 seed will have at least a 10-6 record. (Though the AFC South winner can be as bad as 9-7.)
- Locked berths: NE #1.
- Clinched divisions: KC.
- Clinched berths: BAL, NYJ, PIT.
- Eliminated: CIN, BUF, DEN, CLE, HOU, MIA, TEN, OAK.
- The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Tiebreakers after Week 16:Tied Teams | Record | Extra condition | Winner | Why? | Divisional: | | |
| | PIT-BAL | any | | PIT | division record | JAX-IND | 9-7 | | JAX | division record |
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| NYJ-PIT | 11-5 | | NYJ | head-to-head | NYJ-BAL | 11-5 |
| BAL | head-to-head | PIT-KC | 11-5 | | PIT | conference record | IND-KC | 10-6 | | IND | head-to-head |
Labels: AFC, football, NFL, tiebreakers |
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