Notes and assumptions:
- No possibility of tie games.
- Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
- Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
- Division ties are broken first. (Example: If NE, BAL, and PIT all finish 12-4, break the BAL-PIT tie first. Then apply the tiebreaker between NE and the BAL-PIT winner.).
- If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
- Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
- Locked berths: HOU (#3).
- Clinched divisions: NE (first round bye).
- Clinched berths: PIT, BAL.
- Eliminated: IND, JAX, CLE, MIA, BUF, KC, SD.
- The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Tiebreakers after Saturday games of Week 16:
Tied Teams | Record | Extra condition | Winner | Why? |
BAL-PIT | | | BAL | head-to-head sweep |
DEN-OAK | | | DEN | common opponents |
DEN-OAK-SD | 8-8 |
| DEN | common opponents |
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Wild Card & Seeding: | | | | |
NE-BAL | 12-4 | | BAL | strength-of-victory |
NE-PIT | 12-4 | | PIT | head-to-head |
NYJ-CIN | 9-7 |
| NYJ | conference record |
BAL-HOU | 11-5 | | BAL | head-to-head |
CIN-TEN | 9-7 | | CIN | head-to-head |
CIN-OAK | 9-7 | | OAK | conference record |
NYJ-CIN-TEN | 9-7 |
| TEN | CIN eliminated on conference record;
common opponents |
NYJ-CIN-OAK | 9-7 |
| OAK | CIN eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head |
CIN-TEN-OAK | 9-7 | | TEN | CIN eliminated on conference record;
common opponents |
NYJ-CIN-TEN-OAK | 9-7 |
| OAK | CIN eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory |
Labels: AFC, football, NFL, tiebreakers |
Comments on "Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2011, After Week 16"
For completeness, you might include Den-SD tiebreaker.
Ooops, my bad - they can't tie alone.
i am doing research on pre-week 17 possibilties before watching my tivo of week 17 redzone and of the playoffs.
i don't understand why the
NYJ-TEN-OAK tiebreaker is missing?
i also don't understand what you mean by "CIN eliminated on conference record; strenght of schedule".
according to the nfl tie-breaking rules, you need to be eliminated by only one of the items. what do you mean by the semi-colon followed by "strenght of schedule"?
Hello mate great blog.