Monday, December 23, 2013

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2013, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games.  GB doesn't appear on the chart, but can't be in a relevant tiebreaker even with another tie.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: any tiebreaker between PHI and NO, because PHI wins the NFC East at 10-6, and NO would not win the South.).
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If NO, CAR, and SF all finish 11-5, break the NO-CAR tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between SF and the NO-CAR winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: none.
  9. Clinched berths: SEA, CAR.
  10. Alive for division only: PHI, DAL, CHI, GB.
  11. Alive for division or wild card: NO, SF. 
  12. Alive for wild card only: ARI.
  13. Eliminated: WAS, ATL, MIN, TB, STL, NYG, DET.
  14. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
PHI-DAL9-7DALhead-to-head
CAR-NO11-5NOdivision record
SEA-SF12-4SFdivision record
SF-ARI11-5SFdivision record

NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
DAL-CHI9-7CHIhead-to-head
CAR-SEA12-4SEAhead-to-head
CAR-SF11-5CARhead-to-head
CAR-ARI11-5ARIhead-to-head
NO-SF11-5NOhead-to-head
NO-ARINOhead-to-head

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