Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2013, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions: No possibility of further tie games. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.  (Example: MIA currently has the tiebreaker on NYJ, but MIA and NYJ can only be tied if NYJ beats MIA next week, which would negate MIA's head-to-head tiebreaker.) Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If MIA, NYJ, BAL, and SD all finish 8-8, break the MIA-NYJ tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between BAL, SD, and the MIA-NYJ winner.) If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals. Clinched divisions: NE, CIN, IND, DEN. Clinched bye: DEN. Clinched #5 seed: KC. Alive for #6 seed: MIA, BAL, PIT, SD.  Note that none of these teams are win-and-in; SD and PIT are eliminated if either MIA or BAL wins, and which of MIA or BAL makes the playoffs at 9-7 is dependent on whether SD wins.  If everyone loses, BAL makes the playoffs. Eliminated, but still affecting tiebreakers: NYJ. Also eliminated: HOU, JAX, BUF, CLE, OAK, TEN. The complete tiebreaker rules are here. AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16: Tied Teams Record Winner Why? MIA-NYJ 8-8 NYJ division record BAL-PIT 8-8 PIT division record DEN-KC 12-4 DEN head-to-head AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16: Tied Teams Record Winner Why? NE-CIN 11-5 CIN head-to-head NE-IND 11-5 IND conference record NE-DEN 12-4 NE head-to-head MIA-BAL 9-7 BAL head-to-head MIA-SD 9-7 MIA head-to-head CIN-IND CIN head-to-head BAL-SD 9-7 BAL conference record NE-CIN-IND 11-5 CIN head-to-head MIA-BAL-SD 9-7 MIA conference record NYJ-BAL-SD 8-8 BAL conference record NYJ-PIT-SD 8-8 PIT conference record