Notes and assumptions:
- No possibility of tie games.
- Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: NYG and GB can only be tied if GB beats NYG.)
- Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
- Divisional ties are broken first.
- If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
- Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
- The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-7 record. (Though the NFC West winner can be as bad as 6-9-1.)
- Locked berths: none.
- Clinched division: CHI.
- Clinched berth: ATL.
- Eliminated: CAR, DET, DAL, WAS, MIN, ARI.
- The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Tiebreakers after Week 15:| Tied Teams | Record | Extra condition | Winner | Why? | | Divisional: | | |
| | | PHI-NYG | any | | PHI | head-to-head sweep | | CHI-GB | 10-6 | | CHI | division record | | ATL-NO | 12-4 | | NO | division record | | NO-TB | 10-6 | | TB | common opponents | | STL-SEA | 7-9 | STL beats SEA | STL | head-to-head sweep | | STL-SEA | 7-9 | SEA beats STL | SEA | division record | | STL-SF | 7-9 | | SF | head-to-head sweep | | SEA-SF | 7-9 | | SF | division record | | STL-SEA-SF | 7-9 | | SF | round robin |
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| | PHI-CHI | any | | CHI | head-to-head | | PHI-GB | 10-6 | | GB | head-to-head | | PHI-ATL | 12-4 | | PHI | head-to-head | | PHI-NO | any | | NO | conference record | | PHI-TB | 10-6 | | TB | conference record | | NYG-CHI | 11-5 | | NYG | head-to-head | | NYG-GB | any | | GB | head-to-head | | NYG-NO | any | | NO | common opponents | | NYG-TB | 10-6 | NYG beats WAS
| NYG | common opponents | | NYG-TB | 10-6 | NYG loses to WAS
| NYG | strength-of-victory (CHI+DAL+DET+GB+HOU+JAX+MIN+SEA vs. ARI+CAR+CIN+CLE+NO+SF+STL)
| | CHI-ATL | 12-4 | | CHI | common opponents | | CHI-NO | any | CHI beats NYJ | NO | conference record | | CHI-NO | any | CHI loses to NYJ | NO | common opponents | | GB-NO | 10-6 | | GB | common opponents | | GB-TB | 10-6 |
| likely GB | strength-of-victory | | PHI-CHI-ATL | 12-4 | | likely PHI | strength-of-victory | | PHI-CHI-NO | 12-4 | | NO | conference record | | PHI-GB-NO | 10-6 | | likely GB | PHI eliminated on conference record; strength of victory | | PHI-GB-TB | 10-6 | | likely GB | PHI eliminated on conference record; strength-of-victory | | NYG-GB-NO | 10-6 |
| NO | GB eliminated on conference record; common opponents | | NYG-GB-TB | any |
| likely GB | strength-of-victory |
Labels: football, NFC, NFL, tiebreakers |
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