Monday, December 26, 2016

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2016, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  2. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: If NYG and GB both finish 10-6, GB wins the NFC North, but NYG doesn't win the NFC East.)
  3. Division ties are broken first. 
  4. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  5. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  6. Two ties equal one win and one loss.
  7. Clinched division and home-field advantage: DAL.
  8. Clinched division: SEA, ATL.
  9. Clinched wild card and #5 seed: NYG.
  10. Eliminated: SF, CHI, LA, PHI, ARI, NO, CAR, MIN, NO.
  11. Eliminated from division: WAS, TB.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
DET-GB9-6-1GBhead-to-head

NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditions (all must occur)WinnerWhy?
WAS-DET

DEThead-to-head
WAS-GB8-6-2 v. 9-7
GBhead-to-head
DET-ATL10-6
DETcommon opponents
DET-TB9-7
DETcommon opponents
DET-SEA10-6 v. 9-5-2
DETconference record
GB-ATL10-6
ATLhead-to-head
GB-TB9-7DAL loses to PHI or
IND loses to JAX or
TEN loses to HOU or
SF loses to SEA
GBstrength of victory
GB-TB9-7DAL beats PHI
IND beats JAX
TEN beats HOU
SF beats SEA
GBstrength of schedule
GB-SEA

GBconference record
WAS-DET-TB

DETWAS eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
WAS-GB-TB8-6-2 v. 9-7
v. 9-7
DAL loses to PHI or
IND loses to JAX or
TEN loses to HOU or
SF loses to SEA
GBWAS eliminated on conference record;
strength of victory
WAS-GB-TB8-6-2 v. 9-7
v. 9-7
DAL beats PHI
IND beats JAX
TEN beats HOU
SF beats SEA
TBWAS eliminated on conference record;
strength of victory
DET-ATL-SEA10-6 v. 10-6
v. 9-5-2

DETSEA eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
GB-ATL-SEA10-6 v. 10-6
v. 9-5-2

ATLSEA eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head

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Sunday, December 25, 2016

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2016, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of future tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: If HOU and MIA both finish 10-6, HOU wins the AFC South, but MIA doesn't win the AFC East.)
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Clinched division and first-round bye: NE.
  8. Clinched division and #3 seed: PIT.
  9. Clinched division and #4 seed: HOU.
  10. Clinched playoff berth: OAK, KC, MIA.
  11. Eliminated: everyone else.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
HOU-TEN9-7HOUdivision record
OAK-KC12-4KChead-to-head


AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:

Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
NE-OAK13-3OAKcommon opponents
MIA-KC11-5MIAcommon opponents
PIT-HOU10-6PITstrength of victory

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Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2015, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. (Example: If NYJ and CIN both finish 11-5, CIN wins the AFC North, but NYJ doesn't win the AFC East.)
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If DEN, KC, and NYJ all finish 11-5, break the DEN-KC tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between NYJ and the DEN-KC loser.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals. 
  7. Strength of schedule is the combined winning percentage of all the teams a team has played.
  8. Combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed adds the ordinal rankings of the team's ranking in the AFC in both of those categories.  Lowest total wins.  It is not the same thing as net points scored.  (Currently, the Colts have 303 points scored, ranking 12th, and 384 points allowed, ranking 13th, while the Texans have 309 points scored, ranking 11th, and 307 points allowed, ranking tied for 6th [the NFL ignores the tie].  As things stand today, the Texans would win the tiebreaker 17 to 25.) 
  9. Incredibly, all eight AFC Week 17 games are meaningful to determining playoff berths and/or seeding.
  10. Locked berths: none.
  11. Clinched division/bye: NE.
  12. Clinched division: CIN.
  13. Clinched berths: DEN, KC.
  14. Eliminated: BUF, MIA, BAL, CLE, JAX, TEN, OAK, SD.
  15. Eliminated from division: NYJ, PIT.
  16. Eliminated from wild card: HOU, IND.
  17. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditions (all must occur)WinnerWhy?
IND-HOU8-8either CIN beats BAL or
NO beats ATL or
NYJ beats BUF or
DEN loses to SD or
MIA loses to NE
HOUstrength of victory
(ATL+DEN+MIA vs.
CIN+NO+NYJ)
IND-HOU8-8CIN loses to BAL
ATL beats NO
NYJ loses to BUF
DEN beats SD
MIA beats NE
PIT beats CLE
KC beats OAK
likely HOU best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed
IND-HOU8-8CIN loses to BAL
ATL beats NO
NYJ loses to BUF
DEN beats SD
MIA beats NE
PIT beats CLE
KC loses to OAK
IND strength of schedule
(PIT+DEN vs.
CIN+KC)
IND-HOU8-8CIN loses to BAL
ATL beats NO
NYJ loses to BUF
DEN beats SD
MIA beats NE
PIT loses to CLE
KC beats OAK
HOU strength of schedule
(PIT+DEN vs.
CIN+KC)
IND-HOU8-8CIN loses to BAL
ATL beats NO
NYJ loses to BUF
DEN beats SD
MIA beats NE
PIT loses to CLE
KC loses to OAK
likely HOU best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed
DEN-KC11-5KCdivision record

AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
NE-CIN12-4
NEcommon opponents
NE-DEN12-4DENhead-to-head
NYJ-PIT10-6
PITcommon opponents
NYJ-DEN11-5NYJconference record
NYJ-KCKCconference record
CIN-DEN
DENhead-to-head
CIN-KC11-5CINhead-to-head
PIT-KC10-6KChead-to-head
NE-CIN-DEN12-4
DENhead-to-head
NYJ-PIT-KC10-6KCconference record

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Sunday, December 27, 2015

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2015, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games (except MIN-GB).
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Clinched division and bye: CAR, ARI.
  8. Clinched division: WAS (#4 seed).
  9. Clinched berths: GB, MIN, SEA.
  10. Eliminated: NYG, PHI, DAL, CHI, DET, ATL, TB, NO, STL, SF.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditions (all must occur)WinnerWhy?
GB-MIN10-5-1GBhead-to-head

NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditions (all must occur)WinnerWhy?
GB-SEA10-6GBhead-to-head
MIN-SEA10-6SEAhead-to-head
CAR-ARI14-2ARIconference record
ATL-SEA9-7
SEAcommon opponents

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Monday, December 22, 2014

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2014, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games (CIN is excluded from the table).
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: KC and SD can only finish tied if KC beats SD next week.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: If BUF and IND both finish 10-6, IND wins the AFC South, but BUF doesn't win the AFC East.)
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If BAL, SD, and KC all finish 9-7, break the SD-KC tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between BAL and the SD-KC winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched division and #1 seed: NE. 
  9. Clinched divisions: IND, DEN.
  10. Clinched berths: PIT, CIN.
  11. Eliminated: NYJ, TEN, JAX, OAK, CLE, MIA, BUF.
  12. Eliminated from division: HOU, SD, KC, BAL.
  13. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
BUF-MIA9-7MIAconference record
BAL-PIT10-6
PITconference record
KC-SD9-7KChead-to-head

AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
NE-DEN12-4NEhead-to-head
BAL-SDSDhead-to-head
BAL-KC9-7KCconference record
PIT-IND11-5PIThead-to-head
PIT-DEN11-5
DENstrength of victory
PIT-SD10-6PITconference record
IND-DEN11-5DENhead-to-head
BUF-BAL-HOU9-7HOUhead-to-head
BUF-BAL-SD9-7SDhead-to-head
BUF-BAL-KC9-7
KCconference record
MIA-BAL-HOU9-7
HOUconference record
MIA-BAL-SD9-7
MIAconference record
MIA-BAL-KC9-7
KCBAL eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head
BAL-HOU-SD9-7
HOUBAL eliminated on head-to-head;
conference record
BAL-HOU-KC9-7HOUconference record
PIT-IND-DEN11-5
DENIND eliminated on head-to-head;
strength-of-victory
BUF-BAL-HOU-KC9-7HOUconference record
MIA-BAL-HOU-KC9-7
HOUconference record

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Sunday, December 21, 2014

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2014, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games except GB-DET.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. 
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If ARI, SEA, and DET all finish 12-4, break the ARI-SEA tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between DET and the ARI-SEA winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: DAL.
  9. Clinched berths: ARI, DET, GB, SEA.
  10. Eliminated: WAS, NYG, CHI, MIN, TB, STL, SF, NO, PHI.
  11. Eliminated from wild card: CAR, ATL.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
GB-DET11-4-1
DEThead-to-head
ATL-NO7-9
ATLhead-to-head
ARI-SEA
SEAhead-to-head


NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionsWinnerWhy?
DAL-GB
GBconference record
DAL-DETDETconference record
DAL-ARIARIhead-to-head
DAL-SEADALhead-to-head
GB-ARI12-4GB beats DETGBcommon opponents
GB-ARI11-5GB loses to DET
ARIstrength of victory
GB-SEASEAhead-to-head
DET-ARIARIhead-to-head
DET-SEASEAcommon opponents
DAL-GB-ARI12-4
GBDAL eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
DAL-GB-SEASEAconference record
DAL-DET-ARIARIhead-to-head
DAL-DET-SEASEADAL eliminated on conference record;
common opponents

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Monday, December 23, 2013

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2013, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games.  GB doesn't appear on the chart, but can't be in a relevant tiebreaker even with another tie.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: any tiebreaker between PHI and NO, because PHI wins the NFC East at 10-6, and NO would not win the South.).
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If NO, CAR, and SF all finish 11-5, break the NO-CAR tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between SF and the NO-CAR winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: none.
  9. Clinched berths: SEA, CAR.
  10. Alive for division only: PHI, DAL, CHI, GB.
  11. Alive for division or wild card: NO, SF. 
  12. Alive for wild card only: ARI.
  13. Eliminated: WAS, ATL, MIN, TB, STL, NYG, DET.
  14. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
PHI-DAL9-7DALhead-to-head
CAR-NO11-5NOdivision record
SEA-SF12-4SFdivision record
SF-ARI11-5SFdivision record

NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
DAL-CHI9-7CHIhead-to-head
CAR-SEA12-4SEAhead-to-head
CAR-SF11-5CARhead-to-head
CAR-ARI11-5ARIhead-to-head
NO-SF11-5NOhead-to-head
NO-ARINOhead-to-head

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Sunday, December 22, 2013

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2013, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.  (Example: MIA currently has the tiebreaker on NYJ, but MIA and NYJ can only be tied if NYJ beats MIA next week, which would negate MIA's head-to-head tiebreaker.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If MIA, NYJ, BAL, and SD all finish 8-8, break the MIA-NYJ tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between BAL, SD, and the MIA-NYJ winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Clinched divisions: NE, CIN, IND, DEN.
  8. Clinched bye: DEN.
  9. Clinched #5 seed: KC.
  10. Alive for #6 seed: MIA, BAL, PIT, SD.  Note that none of these teams are win-and-in; SD and PIT are eliminated if either MIA or BAL wins, and which of MIA or BAL makes the playoffs at 9-7 is dependent on whether SD wins.  If everyone loses, BAL makes the playoffs.
  11. Eliminated, but still affecting tiebreakers: NYJ.
  12. Also eliminated: HOU, JAX, BUF, CLE, OAK, TEN.
  13. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
MIA-NYJ8-8NYJdivision record
BAL-PIT8-8PITdivision record
DEN-KC12-4DENhead-to-head

AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
NE-CIN11-5CINhead-to-head
NE-IND11-5INDconference record
NE-DEN12-4NEhead-to-head
MIA-BAL9-7BALhead-to-head
MIA-SD9-7MIAhead-to-head
CIN-INDCINhead-to-head
BAL-SD9-7BALconference record
NE-CIN-IND11-5CINhead-to-head
MIA-BAL-SD9-7MIAconference record
NYJ-BAL-SD8-8BALconference record
NYJ-PIT-SD8-8PITconference record

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Sunday, December 23, 2012

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2012, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games.  (SF is left off the table except for the division tiebreaker.)
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.  (Example: DAL and WAS can only be tied if DAL beats WAS.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If MIN, CHI, and NYG all finish 9-7, break the MIN-CHI tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between MIN and NYG.).
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: GB, ATL.
  9. Clinched berths: ATL (#1 seed).
  10. Eliminated: PHI, DET, NO, TB, CAR, STL, ARI.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionsWinnerWhy?
NYG-WAS9-7WASdivision record
WAS-DAL9-7
DALcommon opponents
NYG-WAS-DAL9-7
DALNYG eliminated on division record; 
common opponents
MIN-CHI
MINdivision record
SF-SEA
SFcommon opponents

NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16 :
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionsWinnerWhy?
NYG-MIN9-7NYGconference record
WAS-MIN9-7WAShead-to-head
GB-SEA11-5SEAhead-to-head
CHI-SEA10-6SEAhead-to-head
MIN-SEA10-6SEAconference record

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Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2012, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: NE, BAL, HOU, DEN.
  9. Clinched berths: CIN, IND.
  10. Eliminated: MIA, NYJ, BUF, PIT, CLE, TEN, JAX, SD, OAK, KC.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionsWinnerWhy?
BAL-CIN10-6BALdivision record

AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionsWinnerWhy?
NE-BAL11-5BALhead-to-head
NE-HOU12-4NEhead-to-head
NE-DEN12-4NEhead-to-head
CIN-IND10-6
INDcommon opponents
HOU-DENHOUhead-to-head
NE-HOU-DEN12-4NEhead-to-head

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Monday, December 26, 2011

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2011, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games except DAL-NYG.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: GB (#1).
  8. Clinched divisions: SF, NO.
  9. Clinched berths: DET, ATL.
  10. Eliminated: STL, MIN, CAR, TB, WAS, PHI, ARI, SEA.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
DAL-NYG8-7-1NYGhead-to-head 
(1-0-1 vs. 0-1-1)
DET-ATL10-6ATLhead-to-head
NO-SFSFconference record

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Saturday, December 24, 2011

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2011, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first. (Example: If NE, BAL, and PIT all finish 12-4, break the BAL-PIT tie first. Then apply the tiebreaker between NE and the BAL-PIT winner.).
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: HOU (#3).
  8. Clinched divisions: NE (first round bye).
  9. Clinched berths: PIT, BAL.
  10. Eliminated: IND, JAX, CLE, MIA, BUF, KC, SD.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Tiebreakers after Saturday games of Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
BAL-PITBALhead-to-head sweep
DEN-OAK DENcommon opponents
DEN-OAK-SD8-8
DENcommon opponents





Wild Card & Seeding:
NE-BAL12-4BALstrength-of-victory
NE-PIT12-4PIThead-to-head
NYJ-CIN9-7
NYJconference record
BAL-HOU11-5BALhead-to-head
CIN-TEN9-7CINhead-to-head
CIN-OAK9-7 OAKconference record
NYJ-CIN-TEN9-7
TENCIN eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
NYJ-CIN-OAK9-7
OAKCIN eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head
CIN-TEN-OAK9-7TENCIN eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
NYJ-CIN-TEN-OAK9-7
OAKCIN eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory

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Wednesday, December 07, 2011

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2011, Divisions Only, After Week 13

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.  (The only way the entire NFC East could tie is at 7-8-1.)
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: DAL and PHI can only be tied if PHI beats DAL.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. (This only affects tiebreakers involving STL.)
  4. Wild card and seeding tiebreakers will be added after Week 14.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: GB, SF.
  9. Clinched berths: none.
  10. Eliminated: STL, MIN.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 13:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
DAL-NYGNYG sweeps DALNYGhead-to-head sweep
DAL-NYGDAL splits with NYG 
and (DAL beats PHI 
OR NYG loses to WAS)
DALdivision record
DAL-NYG9-7DAL splits with NYG 
and DAL loses to PHI 
and NYG beats WAS 
and DAL beats TB
NYGcommon opponents
DAL-NYG8-8DAL splits with NYG 
and DAL loses to PHI 
and NYG beats WAS 
and DAL loses to TB
DALconference record
DAL-PHIPHIhead-to-head sweep
DAL-WASDALhead-to-head sweep
NYG-PHIPHIdivision record
NYG-WASWAShead-to-head sweep
PHI-WAS7-9PHI beats WASPHIhead-to-head sweep
PHI-WAS7-9WAS beats PHIPHIdivision record
DAL-NYG-PHI8-8NYG sweeps DALPHIDAL eliminated on round robin 
(NYG 3-1 vs. PHI 3-1 vs. DAL 0-4); 
division record
DAL-NYG-PHI8-8DAL splits with NYGPHIround robin 
(PHI 3-1 vs. NYG 2-2 vs. DAL 1-3)
DAL-NYG-WAS8-8NYG sweeps DAL 
and DAL beats PHI
NYGWAS eliminated on common opponents; 
head-to-head sweep
DAL-NYG-WAS8-8NYG sweeps DAL 
and DAL loses to PHI
WASDAL eliminated on division record; 
head-to-head sweep
DAL-NYG-WAS8-8DAL splits with NYGDALNYG eliminated on division record; 
head-to-head sweep
DAL-PHI-WAS7-9PHIround robin
NYG-PHI-WAS7-9PHI beats WASPHIround robin
NYG-PHI-WAS7-9WAS beats PHI 
and WAS beats NYG
WASround robin
NYG-PHI-WAS7-9WAS beats PHI 
and NYG beats WAS
PHIdivision record
CHI-DETCHI beats GB 
and CHI beats MIN 
and DET beats GB 
and DET beats MIN 
and CHI beats SEA
DETcommon opponents
CHI-DETCHI beats GB 
and CHI beats MIN 
and DET beats GB 
and DET beats MIN 
and CHI loses to SEA
CHIconference record
CHI-DETCHI beats GB 
and CHI beats MIN 
and (DET loses to GB 
OR DET loses to MIN)
CHIdivision record
CHI-DET(CHI loses to GB 
OR CHI loses to MIN) 
and DET beats GB 
and DET beats MIN
DETdivision record
CHI-DET((CHI beats GB 
and CHI loses to MIN) 
OR (CHI loses to GB 
and CHI beats MIN)) 
and ((DET beats GB 
and DET loses to MIN) 
OR (DET loses to GB 
and DET beats MIN)) 
and CHI beats SEA
DETcommon opponents
CHI-DET((CHI beats GB 
and CHI loses to MIN) 
OR (CHI loses to GB 
and CHI beats MIN)) 
and ((DET beats GB 
and DET loses to MIN) 
OR (DET loses to GB 
and DET beats MIN)) 
and CHI loses to SEA
CHIconference record
CHI-DET(CHI beats GB 
OR CHI beats MIN) 
and DET loses to GB 
and DET loses to MIN
CHIdivision record
CHI-DETCHI loses to GB 
and CHI loses to MIN 
and (DET beats GB 
OR DET beats MIN)
DETdivision record
CHI-DETCHI loses to GB 
and CHI loses to MIN 
and DET loses to GB 
and DET loses to MIN 
and CHI beats SEA
DETcommon opponents
CHI-DETCHI loses to GB 
and CHI loses to MIN 
and DET loses to GB 
and DET loses to MIN 
and CHI loses to SEA
CHIconference record
NO-ATL10-6NO beats ATLNOhead-to-head sweep
NO-ATL10-6ATL beats NO 
and ATL beats TB 
and ATL beats CAR 
and NO beats CAR
ATLcommon opponents
NO-ATLATL beats NO 
and ATL beats TB 
and ATL beats CAR 
and NO loses to CAR
ATLdivision record
NO-ATL10-6ATL beats NO 
and ATL beats TB 
and ATL loses to CAR 
and NO beats CAR
NOdivision record
NO-ATLATL beats NO 
and ATL beats TB 
and ATL loses to CAR 
and NO loses to CAR
ATLcommon opponents
NO-ATL10-6ATL beats NO 
and ATL loses to TB 
and ATL beats CAR 
and NO beats CAR
NOdivision record
NO-ATLATL beats NO 
and ATL loses to TB 
and ATL beats CAR 
and NO loses to CAR
ATLcommon opponents
NO-ATL9-7ATL beats NO 
and ATL loses to TB 
and ATL loses to CAR
NOdivision record
ATL-TBTBhead-to-head sweep
ATL-CARCARdivision record
TB-CAR7-9TB beats CAR 
and TB beats ATL
TBdivision record
TB-CAR7-9TB beats CAR 
and TB loses to ATL
TBcommon opponents
TB-CAR7-9CAR beats TBCARhead-to-head sweep
ATL-TB-CAR7-9TB beats CARTBround robin 
(TB 3-1 vs. CAR 2-2 vs. ATL 1-3)
ATL-TB-CAR7-9CAR beats TBCARround robin 
(CAR 3-1 vs. TB 2-2 vs. ATL 1-3)
SEA-ARISEA beats ARISEAhead-to-head sweep
SEA-ARI8-8ARI beats SEA 
and SEA beats STL 
and SEA beats SF 
and ARI beats SF 
and SEA beats CHI
likely SEAstrength of victory
SEA-ARI7-9ARI beats SEA 
and SEA beats STL 
and SEA beats SF 
and ARI beats SF 
and SEA loses to CHI
SEAcommon opponents
SEA-ARIARI beats SEA 
and SEA beats STL 
and SEA beats SF 
and ARI loses to SF
SEAdivision record
SEA-ARIARI beats SEA 
and SEA beats STL 
and SEA loses to SF 
and ARI beats SF
ARIdivision record
SEA-ARIARI beats SEA 
and SEA loses to STL 
and SEA beats SF 
and ARI beats SF
ARIdivision record
SEA-ARI7-9ARI beats SEA 
and SEA beats STL 
and SEA loses to SF 
and ARI loses to SF 
and ARI beats CIN
likely SEAstrength of victory
SEA-ARI7-9ARI beats SEA 
and SEA beats STL 
and SEA loses to SF 
and ARI loses to SF 
and ARI beats CLE
SEAstrength of victory
SEA-ARI7-9ARI beats SEA 
and SEA loses to STL 
and SEA beats SF 
and ARI loses to SF
SEAstrength of victory

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Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2011, Divisions Only, After Week 13

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: NE and BUF can only be tied if BUF beats NE.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. (This only affects tiebreakers involving both JAX and IND.)
  4. Wild card and seeding tiebreakers will be added after Week 14.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: none.
  9. Clinched berths: none.
  10. Eliminated: IND, JAX, CLE.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 13 and CLE-PIT:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
NE-NYJNEhead-to-head sweep
NE-BUF9-7BUFhead-to-head sweep
NYJ-MIAMIA beats NE
and MIA beats BUF
MIAdivision record
NYJ-MIA7-9MIA loses to NE
OR MIA loses to BUF
MIAcommon opponents
BUF-MIA7-9BUF beats MIA
and BUF beats NE
???strength-of-victory
BUF-MIA7-9BUF beats MIA
and BUF loses to NE
MIAdivision record
BUF-MIAMIA beats BUFMIAhead-to-head sweep
NYJ-BUF-MIAMIA beats BUF
and MIA beats NE
MIABUF eliminated on round robin
(NYJ 3-1 vs. MIA 3-1 vs. BUF 0-4);
division record
NYJ-BUF-MIA7-9MIA beats BUF
and MIA loses to NE
MIABUF eliminated on round robin
(NYJ 3-1 vs. MIA 3-1 vs. BUF 0-4);
common opponents
NYJ-BUF-MIA7-9BUF beats MIANYJround robin
(NYJ 3-1 vs. MIA 2-2 vs. BUF 1-3)
BAL-PITBALhead-to-head sweep
BAL-CIN10-6BAL beats CINBALhead-to-head sweep
BAL-CINCIN beats BALBALdivision record
PIT-CINPIThead-to-head sweep
CIN-CLECINhead-to-head sweep
HOU-TENHOU beats TENHOUhead-to-head sweep
HOU-TENTEN beats HOUHOUcommon opponents
TEN-JAX7-9JAXhead-to-head sweep
DEN-OAKDEN beats KC
and OAK beats KC
and OAK beats SD
DENcommon opponents
DEN-OAKDEN beats KC
and (OAK loses to KC
OR OAK loses to SD)
DENdivision record
DEN-OAKDEN loses to KC
and OAK beats KC
and OAK beats SD
OAKdivision record
DEN-OAKDEN loses to KC
and ((OAK beats KC
and OAK loses to SD)
OR (OAK loses to KC
and OAK beats SD))
DENcommon opponents
DEN-OAKDEN loses to KC
and OAK loses to KC
and OAK loses to SD
DENdivision record
DEN-KCDEN beats KCDENhead-to-head sweep
DEN-KCKC beats DEN
and KC beats OAK
KCdivision record
DEN-KCKC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK
DENconference record
DEN-SDDEN beats KC
OR SD loses to OAK
DENdivision record
DEN-SDDEN loses to KC
and SD beats OAK
and SD beats BAL
DENcommon opponents
DEN-SD8-8DEN loses to KC
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and (DEN beats NE
OR DEN beats BUF)
DENconference record
DEN-SD7-9SD loses to BAL
and SD loses to BUF
DENconference record
DEN-SDDEN loses to KC
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and DEN loses to NE
and DEN loses to BUF
and SD beats BUF
???strength-of-victory
OAK-KC8-8OAK beats KCKCcommon opponents
OAK-KCKC beats OAKKChead-to-head sweep
OAK-SD8-8OAK beats SDOAKhead-to-head sweep
OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and OAK beats KC
and SD beats BAL
and SD beats BUF
SDconference record
OAK-SD8-8OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BUF
???strength-of-victory
OAK-SD8-8OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BAL
SDcommon opponents
OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and OAK loses to KC
SDdivision record
KC-SDKC beats DEN
and KC beats OAK
KCdivision record
KC-SD((KC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK)
OR (KC loses to DEN
and KC beats OAK)
and SD beats OAK
and SD beats BAL
KCcommon opponents
KC-SD((KC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK)
OR (KC loses to DEN
and KC beats OAK)
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and SD beats BUF
SDconference record
KC-SD7-9((KC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK)
OR (KC loses to DEN
and KC beats OAK)
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and SD loses to BUF
and KC beats NYJ
???strength-of-victory
KC-SD7-9((KC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK)
OR (KC loses to DEN
and KC beats OAK)
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and SD loses to BUF
and KC loses to NYJ
SDconference record
KC-SD7-9KC loses to DEN
and KC loses to OAK
and SD loses to OAK
KCcommon opponents
KC-SDKC loses to DEN
and KC loses to OAK
and SD beats OAK
SDdivision record
DEN-OAK-KC8-8DEN beats KCDENround robin
(DEN 3-1 vs. OAK 1-3/2-2 vs. KC 2-2/1-3)
DEN-OAK-KCKC beats DEN
and KC beats OAK
KCround robin
(KC 3-1 vs. DEN 2-2 vs. OAK 1-3)
DEN-OAK-KC8-8KC beats DEN
and OAK beats KC
DENOAK eliminated on common opponents;
conference record
DEN-OAK-SD8-8OAK beats SDOAKround robin
(OAK 3-1 vs. DEN 2-2 vs. SD 1-3)
DEN-OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and DEN beats KC
DENdivision record
DEN-OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and DEN loses to KC
and OAK beats KC
and SD beats BAL
DENcommon opponents
DEN-OAK-SD8-8SD beats OAK
and DEN loses to KC
and OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BAL
and (DEN beats NE
OR DEN beats BUF)
DENOAK eliminated on common opponents;
conference record
DEN-OAK-SD8-8SD beats OAK
and DEN loses to KC
and OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BAL
and DEN loses to NE
and DEN loses to BUF
DEN or SDOAK eliminated on common opponents;
strength-of-victory
DEN-OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and DEN loses to KC
and OAK loses to KC
and SD beats BAL
DENOAK eliminated on division record;
common opponents
DEN-OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and DEN loses to KC
and OAK loses to KC
and SD loses to BAL
and (DEN beats NE
OR DEN beats BUF)
DENOAK eliminated on division record;
conference record
DEN-OAK-SD7-9SD loses to BAL
and SD loses to BUF
DENOAK eliminated on division record;
conference record
DEN-OAK-SDSD beats OAK
and DEN loses to KC
and OAK loses to KC
and SD loses to BAL
and DEN loses to NE
and DEN loses to BUF
and SD beats BUF
DEN or SDOAK eliminated on division record;
strength-of-victory
DEN-KC-SD8-8DEN beats KCDENround robin
(DEN 3-1 vs. SD 2-2 vs. KC 1-3)
DEN-KC-SDKC beats DEN
and KC beats OAK
KCdivision record
DEN-KC-SDKC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK
and SD beats OAK
and SD beats BAL
DENSD eliminated on common opponents;
conference record
DEN-KC-SD8-8KC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and SD beats BUF
and (DEN beats NE
OR DEN beats BUF)
DENconference record
DEN-KC-SDKC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK
and SD beats OAK
and SD loses to BAL
and SD beats BUF
and DEN loses to NE
and DEN loses to BUF
DEN or SDKC eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory
DEN-KC-SDKC beats DEN
and KC loses to OAK
and SD loses to OAK
DENSD eliminated on division record;
conference record
OAK-KC-SDKC beats OAKKCround robin
(KC 3-1 vs. OAK 1-3/2-2 vs. SD 2-2/1-3)
OAK-KC-SD8-8OAK beats KC
and SD beats BAL
KCcommon opponents
OAK-KC-SD8-8OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BAL
SDOAK eliminated on common opponents;
conference record
DEN-OAK-KC-SD8-8DEN beats KCDENround robin/division record
DEN-OAK-KC-SDKC beats DEN
and KC beats OAK
KCround robin/division record
DEN-OAK-KC-SD8-8KC beats DEN
and OAK beats KC
and SD beats BAL
DENOAK and SD eliminated on common opponents;
conference record
DEN-OAK-KC-SD8-8KC beats DEN
and OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BAL
and (DEN beats NE
OR DEN beats BUF)
DENOAK eliminated on common opponents;
conference record
DEN-OAK-KC-SD8-8KC beats DEN
and OAK beats KC
and SD loses to BAL
and DEN loses to NE
and DEN loses to BUF
DEN or SDOAK eliminated on common opponents;
KC eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory

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