Notes and assumptions:
- No possibility of ties. PHI is ignored in these tiebreakers for that reason.
- However, if PHI does tie again, their two ties on the season would equal one win and one loss. An 8-6-2 record is equivalent to 9-7.
- Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
- Divisional ties are broken first. To break a tie between DAL, TB, and ATL, first break the tie between TB and ATL.
- The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-6-1 record.
- Locked berths: NYG #1, ARI #4.
- Also clinched berths: CAR, ATL
- Key games next week: DAL at PHI, NYG at MIN, CHI at HOU, CAR at NO, STL at ATL, OAK at TB.
- The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Tiebreakers after Week 16: | Teams tied | Record | Who wins? | Why? | | | | | | Divisional: | | MIN-CHI | 10-6 | MIN | Conference record (8-4 vs. 7-5) | | MIN-CHI | 9-7 | MIN | Common games | | CAR-ATL | 11-5 | ATL | Conference record (8-4 vs. 7-5) | | TB-ATL | 10-6 | ATL | Common games | | | | | | Conference: | | NYG-CAR | 12-4 | NYG | Head-to-head | | DAL-CHI | 10-6 | DAL | Conference record (8-4 vs. 7-5) | | DAL-TB | any | DAL | Head-to-head | | DAL-ATL | 10-6 | DAL | Conference record (8-4 vs. 7-5) | | MIN-TB | 9-6-1 | TB | Head-to-head | | MIN-ARI | 9-7 | MIN | Head-to-head | | CHI-TB | any | TB | Head-to-head | | CHI-ATL | 10-6 | ATL | Head-to-head | | DAL-CHI-TB | 10-6 | DAL | CHI eliminated on conference record (8-4 vs. 8-4 vs. 7-5);
Head-to-head | | DAL-CHI-ATL | 10-6 | DAL | Conference record (8-4 vs. 7-5 vs. 7-5) | |
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