Quirky Research: Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2014, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:

No possibility of further tie games (CIN is excluded from the table).
Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: KC and SD can only finish tied if KC beats SD next week.)
Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. (Example: If BUF and IND both finish 10-6, IND wins the AFC South, but BUF doesn't win the AFC East.)
Division ties are broken first. (Example: If BAL, SD, and KC all finish 9-7, break the SD-KC tie first. Then apply the tiebreaker between BAL and the SD-KC winner.)
If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
Locked berths: none.
Clinched division and #1 seed: NE.
Clinched divisions: IND, DEN.
Clinched berths: PIT, CIN.
Eliminated: NYJ, TEN, JAX, OAK, CLE, MIA, BUF.
Eliminated from division: HOU, SD, KC, BAL.
The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:

AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:

Tied Teams	Record	Winner	Why?
NE-DEN	12-4	NE	head-to-head
BAL-SD		SD	head-to-head
BAL-KC	9-7	KC	conference record
PIT-IND	11-5	PIT	head-to-head
PIT-DEN	11-5	DEN	strength of victory
PIT-SD	10-6	PIT	conference record
IND-DEN	11-5	DEN	head-to-head
BUF-BAL-HOU	9-7	HOU	head-to-head
BUF-BAL-SD	9-7	SD	head-to-head
BUF-BAL-KC	9-7	KC	conference record
MIA-BAL-HOU	9-7	HOU	conference record
MIA-BAL-SD	9-7	MIA	conference record
MIA-BAL-KC	9-7	KC	BAL eliminated on conference record; head-to-head
BAL-HOU-SD	9-7	HOU	BAL eliminated on head-to-head; conference record
BAL-HOU-KC	9-7	HOU	conference record
PIT-IND-DEN	11-5	DEN	IND eliminated on head-to-head; strength-of-victory
BUF-BAL-HOU-KC	9-7	HOU	conference record
MIA-BAL-HOU-KC	9-7	HOU	conference record

Quirky Research