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Thursday, December 16, 2010

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2010, After SF-SD

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: NO and TB can only be tied if TB beats NO.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Divisional ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-7 record. (Though the NFC West winner can be as bad as 6-9-1.)
  8. Locked berths: none.
  9. Clinched divisions: none.
  10. Clinched berths: none.
  11. Eliminated: CAR, DET, DAL, WAS, MIN.
  12. Eliminated barring STL-SEA tie: ARI.
  13. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Tiebreakers after Week 14 and SF-SD:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
Divisional:
PHI-NYGanyPHI beats NYGPHIhead-to-head sweep
PHI-NYG11-5NYG beats PHI
and NYG beats WAS
and PHI beats DAL		NYGconference record
PHI-NYG11-5NYG beats PHI
and NYG beats WAS
and PHI loses to DAL		NYGdivision record
PHI-NYGanyNYG beats PHI
and NYG loses to WAS
and PHI beats DAL		PHIdivision record
PHI-NYG10-6NYG beats PHI
and NYG loses to WAS
and PHI loses to DAL		NYGconference record
CHI-GB10-6CHI beats GBCHIhead-to-head sweep
CHI-GBanyGB beats CHI
and CHI beats MIN		CHIdivision record
CHI-GB10-6GB beats CHI
and CHI loses to MIN
and GB beats NYG		GBconference record
CHI-GBanyGB beats CHI
and CHI loses to MIN
and GB loses to NYG		GBstrength-of-victory
(CAR+DET+MIA [+NYJ]
vs. MIN+NYJ+SF [+NE])
ATL-NO12-4ATL beats NOATLhead-to-head sweep
ATL-NOanyNO beats ATL
and ATL beats CAR
and NO beats TB		ATLcommon opponents
ATL-NO12-4NO beats ATL
and ATL beats CAR
and NO loses to TB		ATLdivision record
ATL-NO12-4NO beats ATL
and ATL loses to CAR
and NO beats TB		NOdivision record
ATL-NOanyNO beats ATL
and ATL loses to CAR
and NO loses to TB		ATLcommon opponents
ATL-TB11-5ATLhead-to-head sweep
NO-TB11-5NO beats ATLNOdivision record
NO-TB11-5NO loses to ATL
and NO beats BAL		TBconference record
NO-TB10-6TB beats DETNOstrength-of-victory
(MIN+PIT+SEA+DAL
vs. CLE+ARI+WAS+DET)
NO-TB10-6TB loses to DETTBcommon opponents
ATL-NO-TB11-5ATLround robin
STL-SEAanySTL beats SEASTLhead-to-head sweep
STL-SEAanySEA beats STLSEAdivision record
STL-SF7-9SFhead-to-head sweep
STL-ARI7-9STLdivision record
SEA-SF7-9SFdivision record
SEA-ARI7-9SEAhead-to-head sweep
STL-SEA-SF7-9SFround robin
STL-SEA-ARI7-9STL beats SEASTLround robin
STL-SEA-ARI7-9SEA beats STLSEAARI eliminated on round robin;
division record





Conference:




PHI-CHIanyCHIhead-to-head
PHI-GBanyGBhead-to-head
PHI-ATLanyPHIhead-to-head
PHI-NOanyNOconference record
PHI-TBanyTBconference record
NYG-CHIanyNYGhead-to-head
NYG-GBanyNYG beats GBNYGhead-to-head
NYG-GBanyGB beats NYGGBhead-to-head
NYG-ATLanyNYGconference record
NYG-NOanyNOcommon opponents
NYG-TBanyNYG beats WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB beats SEA		likely NYGstrength-of-victory
NYG-TBanyNYG beats WAS
and (TB loses to DET
or TB loses to SEA)		NYGcommon opponents
NYG-TBanyNYG loses to WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB beats SEA		TBcommon opponents
NYG-TBany(NYG loses to WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB loses to SEA)
or (NYG loses to WAS
and TB loses to DET
and TB beats SEA)
likely NYGstrength-of-victory
NYG-TB9-7NYG loses to WAS
and TB loses to DET
and TB loses to SEA		NYGcommon opponents
CHI-ATLanyCHI beats NYJCHIcommon opponents
CHI-ATL11-5CHI loses to NYJCHIconference record
CHI-NOanyCHI beats NYJNOconference record
CHI-NOanyCHI loses to NYJNOcommon opponents
CHI-TBanyCHI beats NYJTBconference record
CHI-TBanyCHI loses to NYJ
and (TB beats DET
or TB beats SEA)		TBcommon opponents
CHI-STL9-7CHIconference record
CHI-SEA9-7SEAhead-to-head
GB-ATL11-5ATLhead-to-head
GB-NO11-5NO beats BALGBcommon opponents
GB-NOanyGB beats NE
and NO loses to BAL		NOconference record
GB-NO10-6GB loses to NEGBcommon opponents
GB-TBanyGB beats NETBconference record
GB-TB10-6GB loses to NE
and TB beats DET		TBcommon opponents
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