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Thursday, December 23, 2010

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2010, After Week 15 (and CAR-PIT)

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: IND and OAK can only be tied if OAK beats IND.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Divisional ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. The AFC #6 seed will have at least a 10-6 record. (Though the AFC South winner can be as bad as 8-8.)
  8. Locked berths: none.
  9. Clinched divisions: none.
  10. Clinched berths: NE, PIT.
  11. Eliminated: CIN, BUF, DEN, CLE, HOU, MIA.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Tiebreakers after Week 15 (and CAR-PIT):
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
Divisional:
NE-NYJ12-4NYJdivision record
PIT-BALanyPITdivision record
JAX-INDanyJAX beats HOU
and IND beats TEN		INDcommon opponents
JAX-IND9-7JAX beats HOU
and IND loses to TEN		JAXdivision record
JAX-IND9-7JAX loses to HOU
and IND beats TEN		INDdivision record
JAX-INDanyJAX loses to HOU
and IND loses to TEN		INDcommon opponents
JAX-IND-TEN8-8TENcommon opponents
KC-SD10-6KC beats OAK
SDcommon opponents
KC-SDanyKC loses to OAK
and SD beats DEN		SDdivision record
KC-SD9-7SD loses to DENSDcommon opponents
KC-OAK9-7OAKhead-to-head sweep
KC-SD-OAK9-7OAKround robin





Conference:




NE-PIT12-4NEhead-to-head
NE-BAL12-4NEhead-to-head
NYJ-PITanyNYJhead-to-head
NYJ-BALanyBALhead-to-head
NYJ-JAX10-6
JAXcommon opponents
NYJ-KCanyNYJconference record
NYJ-SD10-6
NYJstrength-of-victory
(NE+MIA+BUF+MIN+DET+CLE+PIT
vs. JAX+ARI+TEN+IND+KC+SF+DEN)]
PIT-KC11-5PITconference record
BAL-JAX10-6JAXconference record
BAL-KCanyBALconference record
BAL-SD10-6SDconference record
JAX-KCanyKChead-to-head
JAX-SDanySDhead-to-head
JAX-OAK9-7JAXhead-to-head
IND-KCanyINDhead-to-head
IND-SDanySDhead-to-head
IND-OAK9-7OAKhead-to-head
NYJ-BAL-JAX10-6JAXBAL eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
NYJ-BAL-KC10-6
NYJconference record
NYJ-BAL-SD10-6NYJBAL eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory
NYJ-JAX-KC10-6JAXKC eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
NYJ-JAX-SD10-6
NYJstrength-of-victory
BAL-JAX-KC10-6 JAXconference record
BAL-JAX-SD10-6SDBAL eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head
NYJ-BAL-JAX-KC10-6JAXBAL & KC eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
NYJ-BAL-JAX-SD10-6
NYJBAL eliminated on conference record;
strength-of-victory
at

4 comments:

  1. Anonymous11:09 PM, December 19, 2010

    The NFL notified the Steelers today after their loss to the Jets that they had clinched a playoff spot. Was the NFL hasty to call that? According to your chart there is still a possibility for them to not make it in as of now, however unlikely.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Travis11:33 PM, December 19, 2010

    I haven't checked the strength-of-victory tiebreakers carefully enough, but it might be possible that the Steelers beat the Chargers in SoV in every possible scenario. If so, they've clinched.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Travis11:42 PM, December 19, 2010

    Steelers' strength-of-victory clinch described here.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous6:33 AM, December 20, 2010

    Thanks for checking into this and updating. Love how thorough the site is!

    ReplyDelete