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Monday, December 26, 2011

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2011, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of tie games except DAL-NYG.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: GB (#1).
  8. Clinched divisions: SF, NO.
  9. Clinched berths: DET, ATL.
  10. Eliminated: STL, MIN, CAR, TB, WAS, PHI, ARI, SEA.
  11. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionWinnerWhy?
DAL-NYG8-7-1NYGhead-to-head 
(1-0-1 vs. 0-1-1)
DET-ATL10-6ATLhead-to-head
NO-SFSFconference record

4 comments:

  1. Hasn't New Orleans clinched a playoff berth?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Great work as always. One quick thing I've found: PHI-ATL-ARI should always be ATL, as PHI is eliminated on head-to-head sweep, and then ATL would beat ARI on common opponents.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The PHI-ATL-ARI scenarios have been corrected.

    One correction to your correction: if ARI beats SEA, then ARI has a 7-5 NFC record to ATL's 6-6, so ARI would win the tiebreaker before common opponents come into play.

    ReplyDelete